Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.148884 3.324765 3.511296 3.724912 3.964128 4.225368 4.534485
2025-08-31 2.865749 3.104083 3.369676 3.691231 4.075198 4.526108 5.107108
2025-09-07 2.643963 2.917837 3.234530 3.634964 4.138996 4.769541 5.649421
2025-09-14 2.464495 2.758817 3.109056 3.567614 4.170821 4.968605 6.168495
2025-09-21 2.310830 2.615208 2.985566 3.484137 4.164275 5.107981 6.628173
2025-09-28 2.212392 2.530038 2.924932 3.471345 4.244896 5.374262 7.340031
2025-10-05 2.190406 2.537081 2.979702 3.613973 4.556931 6.034372 8.923517
2025-10-12 2.135681 2.496993 2.967525 3.660045 4.730223 6.508720 10.377051
2025-10-19 2.083144 2.455554 2.949065 3.693066 4.884811 6.982038 12.090129
2025-10-26 2.051904 2.439804 2.963535 3.774133 5.126257 7.673177 14.877675
2025-11-02 1.994010 2.384296 2.917701 3.757811 5.198455 8.047382 17.129003
2025-11-09 1.907015 2.284878 2.803578 3.625750 5.050155 7.919624 17.523812
2025-11-16 1.837859 2.211427 2.729041 3.560750 5.034052 8.126635 19.748832
2025-11-23 1.783587 2.156736 2.679413 3.532847 5.085527 8.516188 23.674993
2025-11-30 1.727238 2.096791 2.618931 3.482616 5.088864 8.797039 27.992263
2025-12-07 1.672133 2.036382 2.554690 3.421269 5.062939 9.000023 32.840907
2025-12-14 1.616959 1.973807 2.484239 3.344467 4.996890 9.078125 37.426728
2025-12-21 1.581762 1.938505 2.453329 3.332864 5.063681 9.570844 51.662396
2025-12-28 1.582934 1.955518 2.502983 3.465030 5.458345 11.317004 205.968582
2026-01-04 1.563321 1.941101 2.502631 3.507687 5.663753 12.589731 NaN
2026-01-11 1.542236 1.923540 2.496158 3.538227 5.847055 13.952075 NaN
2026-01-18 1.531318 1.920571 2.512653 3.613037 6.155905 16.284205 NaN
2026-01-25 1.503263 1.890670 2.483772 3.598003 6.230564 17.500366 NaN